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12月16日國貿系講座 | Market Interdependence Through Shared Suppliers: Theory and ...

來源:北京師范大學經濟與工商管理學院 | 2019-12-04 | 發布:經管之家

時間:12月16日 15:30 – 17:00

地點:后主樓1610

演講人:張睿(丹麥奧胡斯大學)

主持人:戴覓(北京師范大學)

標題:Market Interdependence Through Shared Suppliers: Theory and Evidence from Termination of the Multifiber Arrangement

摘要:Leveraging the event of quota lifting by members of Multifiber Arrangement in 2005, we use a difference-in-differences design that compares firm-level Chinese exports of the previously-capped and uncapped products to the countries outside of the MFA. We find strong evidence of market interdependence empirically. The quota removal led to a significant decrease in the exports of MFA-capped products. The suppliers with dampened sales either increased sales in the liberalizing markets or entered them for the first time. We interpret these findings in a multi-country trade model with increasing marginal cost of production. In the model, the marginal cost rises when firms begin to serve markets with growing demand, resulting in a fall in sales in, or even exit, from the countries outside of the MFA. We derive welfare changes in the exporter country, accounting for changes in marginal costs. Our analysis suggests that gains from trade liberalization in the participating countries may come at the expense of the others.

個人簡介:張睿,丹麥奧胡斯大學商業與社會科學學院經濟與商業經濟系(Aarhus University BSS, Department of Economics and Business Economics)助理教授,2019年畢業于北京大學國家發展研究院中國經濟研究中心,獲經濟學博士學位。主要研究方向為國際經濟學、空間經濟學、發展經濟學、中國經濟。曾在《經濟研究》、《管理世界》、《經濟學(季刊)》、《金融研究》、Review of Development Economics等期刊發表論文10余篇,獲《世界經濟年鑒》“十佳論文”、國際貿易實證研究論壇(FREIT)舉辦的RMET會議和EIIT會議最佳博士生論文獎。


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